Len Bayliss RIP

I wasn’t planning to write anything today, but in the death notices of the Dominion-Post I noticed this morning the passing of Len Bayliss, one of the most prominent New Zealand economists of a previous generation (late 1960s to, say, the late 1980s).

I only met Len once, but when I first came to Wellington in the late 1970s he was a prominent public figure, and I was enough of a political/economic junkie to get a bit of a buzz from the fact that one of his sons was in my class at Rongotai College and that, for a year or two while I was at university, Len often caught the same bus into town each weekday morning as I did.

Len was born and educated in Britain, but wanted to get out of the United Kingdom after finishing his degree at Cambridge.  Eschewing South Africa for laudable reasons, he wrote to various banks and government agencies in Australia and New Zealand, and after an interview that seemed to be not much more than a cup of tea with a visiting Deputy Governor passing through London he was hired by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand in 1951, where he spent quite a few years in a vibrant economics department.

He moved on to the Monetary and Economic Council, and played a key role in that agency’s 1966 report calling for liberalisation of the financial sector –  which wasn’t particularly popular with the bureaucratic establishment.  But his most prominent perch was as the long-serving Chief Economist of the (state-owned) Bank of New Zealand, where he openly championed sound economic management and liberalisation.  In the early years of Muldoon’s Prime Ministership he served on the Prime Minister’s Policy Advisory Group and appears to have played an instrumental role in the financial liberalisation that government undertook in 1976/77.   Of Muldoon in this role he wrote

Excellent. He was the best boss I’ve ever had. Absolutely decisive. I wrote his speech for the Mansion House dinner, the most important speech he’d made after becoming PM. I gave it to him. He said send it to Treasury and see if it’s all right with them. They wrote back wanting something changed and wrote a little memo and he just put ‘No’. And he always was very proper. He may have been tough to his political opponents but as Bernard Galvin used to say, certainly in the time I was there, it was a very happy group. He never tried to force you to do anything. In a sense, he treated you just like a public servant, as a politician should treat them. He was decisive. He would argue very intelligently. Watching him at the Cabinet Economic Committee, he really tore strips off ministers who hadn’t done their homework. And I saw him several times in debates with Noel Lough [Deputy Secretary to the Treasury]. Noel Lough was a lovely bloke but Muldoon really won the debates.

After his secondment ended, Bayliss returned to the BNZ, from where a few years later, having become increasingly critical of the economic management of the New Zealand economy, he was put in a position where –  under fire from Muldoon, and with no support from the supine BNZ Board and management –  he felt he had no choice but to resign (at considerable financial cost to himself).

In the post-liberalisation year, Bayliss served on the Board of the BNZ, and he recounted in his published works the frustrations of trying to constrain a management gorging on bad credit, and eventually driving the bank to the point of failure.

At a macroeconomic level he had long-favoured liberalisation and stabilisation (cutting inflation, balancing the budget) but in the post-liberalisation decade he was increasingly uneasy about the persistently high real exchange rate –  a concern that he (rightly in my view) never lost.

As I said, I only met Len once –  although we had corresponded a bit since –  when the New Zealand Association of Economists asked me to record, and edit, a long interview with him (as part of a series on the life and work of prominent New Zealand economists).  The text of that interview has quite bit that might interest those concerned with the history of New Zealand economic and financial policy.

In preparing for that interview, I had been focused on the earlier decades and didn’t give the attention it warranted to his departure from the BNZ or his later time on the Board.   But

…as he records it, that interview and some follow-up questions from me prompted him to put together a volume of documents and recollections  –  Recollections: Bank of New Zealand 1981-1992  – dealing with his ouster from the BNZ and his later term as a government-appointed director of the BNZ as it descended into crisis and near-failure in the late 1980s and early 1990s.

And I used that material last year for a post on his ouster from the BNZ, having finally got under the skin of the Prime Minister once too often.

When some academic finally writes the definitive history of the financial debacle/crisis in New Zealand in the late 80s and early 90s, I hope they take time to draw on the perspectives and papers Bayliss has apparently lodged at Massey University.

His was a courageous voice, unusual for its day.  In an environment in which few could speak –  there weren’t many economists outside government –  it was a valuable contribution in articulating the increasing unease about New Zealand’s economic underperformance and poor economic management.

UPDATE (Oct 18)):  I was asked by the New Zealand Association of Economists to write an obituary.   It is on page 6 of the April 2018 issue of their newsletter Asymmetric Information.


4 thoughts on “Len Bayliss RIP

  1. I’m grateful to you Michael for reporting Len’s death.
    I first met Len when he had left the Monetary and Economic Council and I arrived there for my first professional job in 1970. He was at the BNZ but took the time to help me get started, as the MEC was temporarily being ‘restarted’ and I was by myself waiting for my boss. He was thoughtful and very kind to give up the time he did for that.
    Len then hired me on a part-time basis while I was self-funding my master’s thesis in 1973, digging out old financial records from here and there that he wanted to preserve and use for wider purposes than the BNZ’s.
    Seven years later, on my return from overseas early in 1981, Len led me to the BNZ’s senior management for a role in a new strategic planning unit, proposed by the management consultancy brought in to bring the BNZ up to date after its years under Bruce Smith. He had a significant hand in my interest in monetary institutions and my career.
    At the time you were interviewing Len for the NZAE Michael, he and I were renewing our contacts – he at about 85 and me early 60s. I read and commented on the memoir and some papers he was bequeathing to Massey. In the 1990s, I had seen him often on Friday evening at the Thai takeaway in Waikanae where he had come in from his coastal lifestyle retirement property. Sometime in the 2000s, he moved to Otaki, and became involved with its historical museum. On his occasional visits from there to Wellington for hte day he would sometimes have lunch with me. He was still playing tennis three times a week he told me, and very conscious how lucky he was to be in such good health at his age.
    Len was passionate about the economic issues you write about, the high exchange rate and financial deregulation from the 1960s, and remained engaged in them, writing to editors, offering op-eds etc.
    A fine man.

    Liked by 2 people

  2. Thank you also Michael for deciding to share this tribute widely. The man I knew (a bit) was a very good economist and was unfailingly courteous and issue-focused in debate. He set a good tone for economic discourse in NZ, had a fine pen and real courage.
    Bryce Wilkinson


  3. A very decent and very thorough summary Michael. Public policy wonks like Len who are fearless, independent and constructive make a huge contribution to social justice. RIP Len and thank you for all you achieved improving the lives of others


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